Model Predictions
| Model | Prairie View A&M | Jackson State | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.6% | 85.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 17.9% | 82.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Jackson State +15 (75-60). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.