Model Predictions
| Model | South Carolina State | Howard | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.5% | 21.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.8% | 24.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 92.8% | 7.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.8% | 24.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.9% | 24.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Howard -8 (63-71). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.