Model Predictions
| Model | Texas Southern | Grambling | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 72.2% | 27.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 82.6% | 17.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.9% | 9.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.4% | 8.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Grambling -7 (73-80). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.