Model Predictions
| Model | Drexel | Towson | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Towson -3 (61-64). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.