Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Joseph's | Temple | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.0% | 90.0% | - | โ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | โ |
| Margin | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | โ |
| Pythagorean | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | โ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | โ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.9% | 87.1% | - | โ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | โ |
Actual: Temple +13 (64-51). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.