Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan | Purdue | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Purdue -2 (86-88). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.