Model Predictions
| Model | Oregon | Oregon State | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.2% | 24.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.6% | 24.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oregon State -18 (49-67). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.