Model Predictions
| Model | Texas A&M | Oklahoma | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.0% | 96.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 9.8% | 90.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma +25 (78-53). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.