Model Predictions
| Model | Texas Tech | Oklahoma State | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.6% | 87.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.2% | 78.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.6% | 87.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.5% | 87.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma State +8 (55-47). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.