Model Predictions
| Model | McNeese | Lamar | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.7% | 93.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.7% | 93.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Lamar +25 (74-49). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.