Model Predictions
| Model | Texas Southern | Jackson State | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Jackson State -6 (79-85). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.