Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina A&T | Howard | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.8% | 31.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.4% | 32.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 93.2% | 6.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.1% | 15.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.2% | 15.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Howard +7 (69-62). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.