Model Predictions
| Model | Tulane | Houston | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.9% | 35.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.4% | 24.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.3% | 11.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.4% | 11.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Houston +1 (75-74). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.