Model Predictions
| Model | Maine | Hartford | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.2% | 32.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 78.6% | 21.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.5% | 16.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.5% | 16.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Hartford -5 (71-76). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.