Model Predictions
| Model | Prairie View A&M | Grambling | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Grambling -3 (83-86). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.