Model Predictions
| Model | South Carolina State | Delaware State | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.6% | 30.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.5% | 22.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Delaware State -8 (53-61). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.