Model Predictions
| Model | Iona | Canisius | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.6% | 15.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.7% | 15.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Canisius +16 (80-64). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.