Model Predictions
| Model | Portland State | Weber State | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Weber State +15 (80-65). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.