Model Predictions
| Model | Radford | Hampton | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.1% | 31.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.4% | 26.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.7% | 26.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Hampton -9 (68-77). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.