Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Tech | Xavier | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.6% | 83.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.9% | 94.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.8% | 94.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.9% | 82.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Xavier +19 (86-67). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.