Model Predictions
| Model | Baylor | Texas | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.6% | 92.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.4% | 87.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.3% | 95.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.1% | 95.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas +28 (71-43). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.