Model Predictions
| Model | Sam Houston | McNeese | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.5% | 9.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.8% | 9.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 70.2% | 29.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: McNeese -5 (65-70). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.