Model Predictions
| Model | Florida | Vanderbilt | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.1% | 17.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.5% | 17.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Vanderbilt +10 (87-77). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.