Model Predictions
| Model | Rhode Island | Temple | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.2% | 91.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.2% | 85.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.5% | 96.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.4% | 96.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 13.9% | 86.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Temple +43 (88-45). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.