Model Predictions
| Model | South Carolina State | Hampton | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Hampton +6 (87-81). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.