Model Predictions
| Model | La Salle | Duquesne | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.6% | 33.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.2% | 15.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.2% | 15.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Duquesne +20 (83-63). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.