Model Predictions
| Model | Loyola (MD) | Canisius | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Canisius -11 (90-101). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.