Model Predictions
| Model | Jackson State | Alcorn State | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.0% | 81.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alcorn State +9 (72-63). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.