Model Predictions
| Model | Florida State | Wake Forest | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.3% | 92.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.1% | 92.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.4% | 82.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Wake Forest -2 (64-66). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.