Model Predictions
| Model | Samford | Stetson | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 77.3% | 22.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 71.5% | 28.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 97.8% | 2.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 97.9% | 2.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 74.0% | 26.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Stetson -16 (57-73). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.