Model Predictions
| Model | Villanova | Seton Hall | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Seton Hall +7 (71-64). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.