Model Predictions
| Model | Boston University | Drexel | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.4% | 87.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.4% | 85.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Drexel +8 (58-50). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.