Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado | Denver | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 89.2% | 10.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 85.2% | 14.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 86.5% | 13.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 88.2% | 11.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 99.1% | 0.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 99.1% | 0.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 82.6% | 17.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver -24 (49-73). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.