Model Predictions
| Model | Colgate | Cornell | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.6% | 31.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.7% | 31.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cornell -5 (63-68). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.