Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina A&T | Hampton | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Hampton +9 (82-73). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.