Model Predictions
| Model | James Madison | Georgetown | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.0% | 82.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Georgetown +15 (63-48). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.