Model Predictions
| Model | Northeastern | Drexel | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.9% | 86.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Drexel +9 (76-67). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.