Model Predictions
| Model | Western Michigan | Akron | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Akron +11 (73-62). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.