Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Utah | Utah | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.2% | 97.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.9% | 91.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 20.4% | 79.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 0.6% | 99.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 0.6% | 99.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah +17 (73-56). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.