Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.8% | 49.2% | -0.2 | ✗ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New York Liberty +8 (65-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michele Timms * | 35 | 2-13 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Umeki Webb * | 32 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Bridget Pettis * | 31 | 3-14 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | -1 | - |
| Jennifer Gillom * | 29 | 9-19 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 15 | - |
| Toni Foster * | 29 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Marlies Askamp | 15 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Nancy Lieberman | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Tia Jackson | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Tara Williams | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Monique Ambers | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teresa Weatherspoon * | 34 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Rebecca Lobo * | 34 | 5-12 | 0-3 | 3-6 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Sophia Witherspoon * | 32 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Vickie Johnson * | 30 | 8-17 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 9 | - |
| Kym Hampton * | 16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Sue Wicks | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Kisha Ford | 17 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Trena Trice-Hill | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Rhonda Blades | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter