Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 71.5% | 28.5% | -5.1 | ✓ (4.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -10 (89-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allisha Gray * | 38 | 6-13 | 2-8 | 3-3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Rhyne Howard * | 37 | 7-14 | 4-11 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Angel Reese * | 35 | 14-21 | 0-4 | 3-5 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Naz Hillmon * | 34 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jordin Canada * | 29 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Isobel Borlase | 13 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Madina Okot | 10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Te-Hina Paopao | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kahleah Copper * | 37 | 13-21 | 3-7 | 9-12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 38 | - | - | |
| Alyssa Thomas * | 33 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 16 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| DeWanna Bonner * | 30 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Noemie Brochant * | 27 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Sami Whitcomb * | 27 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Natasha Mack | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Valeriane Ayayi | 13 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - | - | |
| Lexi Held | 12 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - |
* = starter