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2026-08-20

Model Predictions

Model Connecticut Sun Las Vegas Aces Spread Result
Elo 19.7% 80.3% -
Bradley-Terry 13.4% 86.6% -
Margin 9.3% 90.7% +12.6 (10.4 off)
Pythagorean 23.5% 76.5% -

Actual: Las Vegas Aces +23 (101-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Charlisse Leger-Walker * 28 4-7 2-3 0-0 3 4 0 2 10 - -
Olivia Nelson-Ododa * 24 5-9 0-1 4-6 1 0 1 0 14 - -
Kennedy Burke * 23 5-11 1-6 0-0 2 2 2 0 11 - -
Leila Lacan * 23 3-5 2-3 3-4 1 3 2 0 11 - -
Diamond Miller * 11 1-6 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -
Saniya Rivers 23 3-8 0-1 2-2 7 5 2 1 8 - -
Ashlon Jackson 18 2-5 1-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 5 - -
Nell Angloma 14 2-6 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 4 - -
Raegan Beers 13 2-2 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 0 6 - -
Gianna Kneepkens 11 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Rayah Marshall 7 1-1 0-0 3-4 3 1 0 0 5 - -

Las Vegas Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chelsea Gray * 28 3-8 0-3 0-0 2 4 2 0 6 - -
Jackie Young * 27 10-21 4-9 0-0 7 5 1 0 24 - -
A'ja Wilson * 27 9-19 0-2 2-3 3 4 0 0 20 - -
Stephanie Talbot * 25 2-2 0-0 1-1 6 4 3 1 5 - -
NaLyssa Smith * 17 3-6 0-0 1-2 4 0 1 0 7 - -
Jewell Loyd 23 2-7 1-5 2-3 5 2 0 0 7 - -
Mai Yamamoto 19 3-6 1-3 2-2 2 3 0 0 9 - -
Cheyenne Parker-Tyus 15 4-5 2-2 8-9 9 1 0 1 18 - -
Brianna Turner 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Justine Pissott 3 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Kierstan Bell 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter