Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.2% | 24.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 84.4% | 15.6% | -9.3 | ✓ (25.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun -35 (69-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhyne Howard * | 29 | 7-10 | 5-8 | 10-11 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 29 | - | - | |
| Angel Reese * | 28 | 3-13 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | - | - | |
| Allisha Gray * | 27 | 8-13 | 4-5 | 9-10 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Jordin Canada * | 26 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Naz Hillmon * | 24 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Madina Okot | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Isobel Borlase | 11 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jaylyn Sherrod | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Aaliyah Nye | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Sika Kone | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Shatori Walker-Kimbrough | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Brionna Jones | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leila Lacan * | 20 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - | - | |
| Brittney Griner * | 18 | 3-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - | - | |
| Charlisse Leger-Walker * | 17 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Olivia Nelson-Ododa * | 16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Diamond Miller * | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Saniya Rivers | 20 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Kennedy Burke | 17 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Nell Angloma | 17 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Aaliyah Edwards | 17 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Gianna Kneepkens | 14 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Hailey Van Lith | 13 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Raegan Beers | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Rayah Marshall | 6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - |
* = starter