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2026-08-11

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Mercury Los Angeles Sparks Spread Result
Elo 47.3% 52.7% -
Bradley-Terry 38.5% 61.5% -
Margin 48.2% 51.8% +0.4 (7.4 off)
Pythagorean 48.8% 51.2% -

Actual: Los Angeles Sparks -7 (87-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Mercury

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kahleah Copper * 35 7-16 1-5 3-4 4 1 1 0 18 - -
Alyssa Thomas * 33 5-8 0-0 6-7 7 9 1 1 16 - -
Noemie Brochant * 30 10-13 3-6 1-3 3 3 5 0 24 - -
DeWanna Bonner * 27 2-5 2-4 5-6 7 2 3 3 11 - -
Sami Whitcomb * 22 2-6 2-5 1-1 4 3 2 0 7 - -
Valeriane Ayayi 19 1-4 1-3 4-4 4 1 0 1 7 - -
Natasha Mack 13 4-4 0-0 1-1 4 1 0 0 9 - -
Lexi Held 12 0-3 0-1 2-4 3 1 0 0 2 - -
Marta Suarez 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

Los Angeles Sparks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rae Burrell * 34 6-21 0-8 7-8 3 6 3 0 19 - -
Nneka Ogwumike * 32 6-14 2-4 4-4 9 8 0 0 18 - -
Dearica Hamby * 31 8-8 0-0 3-5 4 2 2 0 19 - -
Ariel Atkins * 31 2-7 1-5 0-2 4 2 4 0 5 - -
Erica Wheeler * 29 3-11 1-7 0-0 3 5 2 0 7 - -
Cameron Brink 15 3-6 0-3 1-1 5 1 0 2 7 - -
Chance Gray 7 1-2 1-2 1-2 2 0 0 0 4 - -
Tonie Morgan 6 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 - -
Jihyun Park 5 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 5 - -
Kiana Williams 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter