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2026-08-09

Model Predictions

Model Las Vegas Aces New York Liberty Spread Result
Elo 42.1% 57.9% -
Bradley-Terry 48.9% 51.1% -
Margin 47.6% 52.4% +0.5 (39.5 off)
Pythagorean 47.7% 52.3% -

Actual: New York Liberty +40 (111-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Las Vegas Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brianna Turner * 29 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 1 4 - -
Stephanie Talbot * 20 1-3 1-2 1-2 2 0 1 0 4 - -
Jewell Loyd * 19 0-4 0-2 2-2 0 1 0 0 2 - -
NaLyssa Smith * 19 3-8 0-1 1-2 6 4 0 0 7 - -
Dana Evans * 14 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 2 0 1 2 - -
Justine Pissott 25 4-14 3-8 0-0 3 1 1 0 11 - -
Mai Yamamoto 25 6-11 4-8 0-0 1 6 1 0 16 - -
Ta'Niya Latson 24 6-9 1-2 7-8 4 2 1 0 20 - -
Kierstan Bell 20 2-6 1-4 0-0 4 0 1 0 5 - -

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Breanna Stewart * 23 4-10 0-0 6-8 4 4 1 1 14 - -
Rebecca Allen * 21 5-7 2-4 1-1 8 2 2 1 13 - -
Sabrina Ionescu * 20 2-10 1-6 0-0 3 2 0 0 5 - -
Jonquel Jones * 19 5-8 3-6 2-2 8 2 2 0 15 - -
Pauline Astier * 16 2-2 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 6 - -
Rebekah Gardner 21 5-11 0-1 1-1 7 0 1 1 11 - -
Marine Fauthoux 21 1-2 0-0 0-2 3 9 0 0 2 - -
Marine Johannes 21 9-14 7-12 2-2 1 3 1 0 27 - -
Xu Han 17 5-7 1-2 3-3 5 0 1 1 14 - -
Raquel Carrera 16 2-4 0-1 0-0 4 2 0 0 4 - -

* = starter