Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 61.7% | 38.3% | -2.6 | ✗ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +3 (75-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alyssa Thomas * | 35 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4-10 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| DeWanna Bonner * | 34 | 3-12 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kahleah Copper * | 34 | 6-15 | 1-6 | 3-5 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Kelsey Plum * | 27 | 9-16 | 3-7 | 4-6 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Noemie Brochant * | 22 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Natasha Mack | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Sami Whitcomb | 12 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Valeriane Ayayi | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kyara Linskens | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leila Lacan * | 31 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Brittney Griner * | 23 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - | - | |
| Diamond Miller * | 23 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Charlisse Leger-Walker * | 19 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Olivia Nelson-Ododa * | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Aaliyah Edwards | 24 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Kennedy Burke | 19 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Saniya Rivers | 16 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Hailey Van Lith | 14 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Nell Angloma | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter