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2026-08-06

Model Predictions

Model Las Vegas Aces Indiana Fever Spread Result
Elo 36.0% 64.0% -
Bradley-Terry 47.2% 52.8% -
Margin 37.8% 62.2% +2.7 (4.7 off)
Pythagorean 44.1% 55.9% -

Actual: Indiana Fever -2 (84-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Las Vegas Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chelsea Gray * 40 4-10 3-5 0-0 2 7 4 0 11 - -
A'ja Wilson * 37 10-25 0-2 6-6 13 3 1 2 26 - -
NaLyssa Smith * 37 7-11 0-0 0-1 9 1 0 1 14 - -
Jackie Young * 35 8-21 2-8 4-5 4 9 1 0 22 - -
Stephanie Talbot * 10 2-4 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 4 - -
Jewell Loyd 31 4-9 0-4 1-2 5 2 2 0 9 - -
Dana Evans 15 0-5 0-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 - -
Brianna Turner 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 - -
Kierstan Bell 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kelsey Mitchell * 39 10-18 2-4 6-8 0 4 2 0 28 - -
Caitlin Clark * 38 7-20 2-10 4-6 3 8 1 0 20 - -
Aliyah Boston * 37 9-15 3-5 0-0 12 2 3 2 21 - -
Monique Billings * 20 3-4 0-0 2-2 4 1 2 0 8 - -
Lexie Hull * 17 0-1 0-0 1-2 4 1 1 1 1 - -
Makayla Timpson 31 2-6 0-0 0-0 11 0 1 1 4 - -
Sophie Cunningham 28 0-2 0-1 2-2 3 0 0 0 2 - -
Tyasha Harris 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter