Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.2% | 81.8% | +8.3 | ✓ (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +14 (96-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alyssa Thomas * | 37 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Kahleah Copper * | 35 | 5-16 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| DeWanna Bonner * | 30 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 8-8 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Noemie Brochant * | 28 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Kelsey Plum * | 26 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Sami Whitcomb | 14 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Natasha Mack | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Valeriane Ayayi | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Lexi Held | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhyne Howard * | 33 | 6-13 | 5-9 | 6-6 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Angel Reese * | 32 | 7-14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jordin Canada * | 29 | 4-13 | 2-7 | 7-8 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Allisha Gray * | 28 | 8-15 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Naz Hillmon * | 25 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Brionna Jones | 20 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Isobel Borlase | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jaylyn Sherrod | 10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Shatori Walker-Kimbrough | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Aaliyah Nye | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Sika Kone | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Madina Okot | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter