Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.9% | 57.1% | +1.6 | ✗ (23.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream -22 (87-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackie Young * | 34 | 11-17 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 11 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| NaLyssa Smith * | 30 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| A'ja Wilson * | 30 | 8-11 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 23 | - | - | |
| Chelsea Gray * | 29 | 8-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Stephanie Talbot * | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jewell Loyd | 18 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Brianna Turner | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Dana Evans | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kierstan Bell | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - | - | |
| Justine Pissott | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Mai Yamamoto | 2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Ta'Niya Latson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhyne Howard * | 33 | 7-13 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Jordin Canada * | 31 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Allisha Gray * | 29 | 2-10 | 0-6 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Naz Hillmon * | 27 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Angel Reese * | 26 | 10-19 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Brionna Jones | 17 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Isobel Borlase | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jaylyn Sherrod | 7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Madina Okot | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Shatori Walker-Kimbrough | 6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Sika Kone | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Aaliyah Nye | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter