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2026-08-01

Model Predictions

Model New York Liberty Phoenix Mercury Spread Result
Elo 62.0% 38.0% -
Bradley-Terry 64.2% 35.8% -
Margin 67.5% 32.5% -4.0 (2.0 off)
Pythagorean 60.2% 39.8% -

Actual: Phoenix Mercury -2 (92-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sabrina Ionescu * 35 9-19 4-10 5-5 7 10 1 0 27 - -
Breanna Stewart * 33 4-10 0-1 6-6 11 2 0 2 14 - -
Jonquel Jones * 27 6-10 0-4 4-4 9 5 1 1 16 - -
Pauline Astier * 21 3-7 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 6 - -
Rebecca Allen * 20 2-5 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 5 - -
Xu Han 21 6-9 3-6 2-2 6 1 0 0 17 - -
Marine Johannes 14 2-4 1-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 5 - -
Marine Fauthoux 12 0-1 0-1 2-2 0 2 0 0 2 - -
Rebekah Gardner 10 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Raquel Carrera 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

Phoenix Mercury

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kahleah Copper * 36 8-15 2-7 7-9 2 0 1 0 25 - -
Alyssa Thomas * 35 7-12 0-0 3-4 6 7 2 0 17 - -
DeWanna Bonner * 32 9-17 2-6 5-6 7 3 2 1 25 - -
Noemie Brochant * 25 2-4 1-2 0-0 0 1 1 0 5 - -
Monique Akoa Makani * 15 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 0 4 - -
Valeriane Ayayi 21 0-2 0-1 5-6 1 2 0 1 5 - -
Sami Whitcomb 14 1-4 1-3 1-1 0 3 0 0 4 - -
Natasha Mack 11 2-2 0-0 1-2 3 2 0 0 5 - -
Lexi Held 5 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter